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Poker Lessons For Option Traders
0Poker Lessons For Option Traders While the poker craze has died down quite a bit, there is still much to learn from this game of skill AND luck that can apply to improve your trading. Poker is not a pure skill game in the same way that chess and bridge are. That’s because there is much short-term luck in poker, whereas there is virtually no luck in chess and bridge.
What Stocks & Sectors Top Hedge Funds Are Buying (And Selling)
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What Stocks & Sectors Top Hedge Funds Are Buying (And Selling) Funds increase bet in consumer discretionary, Google present in majority of funds Q1 2013: Funds Increase Bet in Consumer Discretionary Stocks The 50 largest hedge funds increased their equity exposure by over 5% in Q1 2013. This quarter, Boeing Co. (BA) was the favorite allocation of the funds. The stock experienced $1.6 billion in inflows, which amounted to nearly
Stocks Ignore Shaky Economic Data – Weekly Market Outlook
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Stocks Ignore Shaky Economic Data – Weekly Market Outlook Another week, another record high. Nothing new there, though at this point the market’s gotten uncomfortably overbought. The rationale side of your brain says that’s a reason to sell… or at least stop buying. Yet, the instinct to want to jump onto this rising rocket also makes sense – this may well be the beginning of a rarely-seen true melt-up.
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Stocks Ignore Shaky Economic Data – Weekly Market Outlook0
Stocks Ignore Shaky Economic Data – Weekly Market Outlook Another week, another record high. Nothing new there, though at this point the market’s gotten uncomfortably overbought. The rationale side of your brain says that’s a reason to sell… or at least stop buying. Yet, the instinct to want to jump onto this rising rocket also
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Chalk Up Another One For The Bulls – Weekly Market Outlook0
Chalk Up Another One For The Bulls – Weekly Market Outlook Chalk another week up for the bulls – the third winning week in a row, and the fifteenth winner for the past nineteen weeks. Oh yeah, we hit new all-time highs in the process…. again. Truth be told, not a whole lot’s changed since
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6 Key Questions Say Bull Market Can Continue0
6 Key Questions Say Bull Market Can Continue 'Bear Market Checklist' Goes a Perfect 0-for-6 David Darst has six boxes on his bear market checklist, and none of them are filled in yet. The Morgan Stanley chief investment strategist is a realist – cautious but not cowering, optimistic but not overzealous. So when he looks
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What Comes Next After All-Time Highs? – Weekly Market Outlook
What Comes Next After All-Time Highs – Weekly Market Outlook Through the end of Thursday, it just looked like the market was due for another dance with all-time highs (which was also its recent ceiling). With Friday’s surge, though, not only did stocks collectively punch through resistance, it got a lot of people reconsidering their
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What Stocks & Sectors Top Hedge Funds Are Buying (And Selling)0
What Stocks & Sectors Top Hedge Funds Are Buying (And Selling) Funds increase bet in consumer discretionary, Google present in majority of funds Q1 2013: Funds Increase Bet in Consumer Discretionary Stocks The 50 largest hedge funds increased their equity exposure by over 5% in Q1 2013. This quarter, Boeing Co. (BA) was the favorite allocation
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Rising Sun Redux – International ETFs Lag The US, Except For Japan0
Rising Sun Redux – International ETFs Lag The US, Except For Japan It’s been another strong year for the US markets in 2013 thus far (as we had forecasted after the first few weeks of the year). But many international single country exchange traded funds (ETF) are lagging, and are even actually down on the
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Gold, Silver, Miners – Key Levels and Outlook0
Gold, Silver, Miners – Key Levels and Outlook How to Trade Gold, Silver & Precious Metal Miners How to trade Gold and other precious metals related investments is not that complex. But you must be willing to wait for price to provide low risk entry points before getting involved. Precious metals are like any other
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Sector Breadth Breaking Down and Moving Averages Violated
Sector Breadth Breaking Down and Moving Averages Violated Breadth Drops The S&P 500 (SPX) (SPY) closed below its 50-day moving average for the first time all year this week, so below is an updated look at where the individual stocks within the S&P 500 stand in relation to their 50-days. As shown below, 47% of
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Oil Could Be Early Warning Bell For Fed & The Market1
Oil Could Be Early Warning Bell For Fed & The Market Will Oil Futures Stop the Fed’s QE Program? The sell-side analysts and economists are reminding retail investors that risk assets in the United States have been on quite a tear to the upside recently. A correction now lasts a matter of days, if not
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Bubble Forming in Dividend Stocks & Bonds?
Bubble Forming in Dividend Stocks & Bonds? Where is the Larger Bubble: the S&P 500 Index or U.S. Treasuries? W’ve have a plethora of companies reporting earnings and are moving through the 1st Quarter earnings season at a rapid pace. Thus far, earnings have been far from exciting and have made the previous 2013 forward earnings estimates
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Current Fed Policies Cause Shadow Inflation, Macro Risk & The Case For Gold
Current Fed Policies Cause Shadow Inflation, Macro Risk & The Case For Gold Gold vs. S&P 500 – Where is the Value? This past week we received the final 4th Quarter GDP number which came in at 0.39%. The total 4th Quarter growth was terrible, plain and simple. Based on the performance in the equity markets
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Is a Dollar Inflation Bubble About to Burst?
Is a Dollar Inflation Bubble About to Burst? The Dollar and the Real Inflation Story I can’t tell you how many talking heads I’ve watched in the media recently touting the strong dollar. Sometimes I really wonder whether Homo sapiens are an intelligent life form. Remember this is the same species that created the Tulip
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Utility Stocks Divergence Is Concern For Overextended Market0
Performance Divergence Of Utility Stocks Is A Concern For An Overextended Market Spotting & Timing Stock Market Tops Since the middle of April, everyone and including their grandmother seems to have been building a short position in the equities market and we know picking tops or bottoms fighting the major underlying trend is risky business … but most
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Are Stocks Already in a Parabolic Bubble Formation?0
Are Stocks Already in a Parabolic Bubble Formation? Euphoria Phase Turns into the Parabolic Phase The euphoria phase of the bull market that I warned about months ago is now beginning its final parabolic phase. I’m guessing we still have another month to month and a half before this runaway move finally ends. Depending on
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Big Moves Forecasted in Dollar & Gold from Technical Indicator
Big Moves Forecasted in Dollar & Gold from Technical Indicator Gold: Struttin’ with Attitude There goes Gold (GLD) again, doing something this week it has only been able to do 8 other times in its entire bull market beginning in 2001. Details with charts in a second. The True Strength Index (TSO) is a sophisticated ‘low-lag time’ momentum
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The Danger of Being a Perma-Bear (or an Early Bear)
The Danger of Being a Perma-Bear (or an Early Bear) Who’s Going To Be The Last Bear Standing? With the market sitting at virtually all-time highs, everyone is starting to wonder when the next correction will set in. Every slight 2% stumble in the major indices is widely heralded by the bears as a market
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Poker Lessons For Option Traders0
Poker Lessons For Option Traders While the poker craze has died down quite a bit, there is still much to learn from this game of skill AND luck that can apply to improve your trading. Poker is not a pure skill game in the same way that chess and bridge are. That’s because there is much
-
2013 Preakness Handicapping, Analysis & Picks0
2013 Preakness Handicapping, Analysis & Picks This Saturday is the Preakness at the Pimlico race track in Maryland, the 2nd leg of Horse Racing’s Triple Crown. Orb took home the Kentucky Derby on a sloppy track. A big longshot, Golden Soul at 32-1, came in 2nd in the Derby, which messed up our projections a bit … as did the
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The 3000 Year History of Options, Derivatives, and Futures Trading0
The 3000 Year Brief History of Options, Derivatives, and Futures Trading A History of Derivatives : A 3,000 year History 1700 BC – The history of derivatives is very long, there is even a reference in the Bible - Genesis 29 where Laban offers Jacob an option to marry his youngest daughter Rachel in exchange for seven
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Golf and Trading1
Golf & Trading Several years ago, I had a very long conversation with some associates about how playing golf and trading the markets are similar. Many other traders have made the very same connection. One fellow in particular shared his favorite quotes about the game of golf noticing how if you substituted the word ‘trading’ for every
