Opinion: Why the next bear market could shave 35% off the Dow

– Stock market downturns tend to be more severe when they start from high valuations – By Mark Hulbert, MarketWatch Predicting when the next bear market will occur is notoriously difficult. Just ask stock-market timers. But what about predicting the severity of the next bear market? That has become a pressing question of late, since Wall Street has shifted from...

Opinion: Why the next bear market could shave 35% off the Dow

– Stock market downturns tend to be more severe when they start from high valuations – By Mark Hulbert, MarketWatch Predicting when the next bear market will occur is notoriously difficult. Just ask stock-market timers. But what about predicting the severity of the next bear market? That has become a pressing question of late, since Wall Street has shifted from...

US Stock Market Setting Up A Pennant Formation

As we’ve been warning over the past few weeks and months, the current price rotation in the US stock market is very much related to the strength of the US Dollar and the continued Capital Shift that is taking place as trade issues and currency valuations drive investors into the US equity and debt markets as protection against risk.  We...

US Stock Market Setting Up A Pennant Formation

As we’ve been warning over the past few weeks and months, the current price rotation in the US stock market is very much related to the strength of the US Dollar and the continued Capital Shift that is taking place as trade issues and currency valuations drive investors into the US equity and debt markets as protection against risk.  We...

Investors face a conundrum: which market is wrong?

By Clive McKeef, MarketWatch If it's true that markets face slowing economic growth and lower corporate profits due to geopolitical uncertainty fostered by President Donald Trump's use of import duties as a weapon against a host of domestic challenges, then why is the S&P 500 index less than 2% from its late-April record? Markets face three overlapping problems, according to...

Investors face a conundrum: which market is wrong?

By Clive McKeef, MarketWatch If it's true that markets face slowing economic growth and lower corporate profits due to geopolitical uncertainty fostered by President Donald Trump's use of import duties as a weapon against a host of domestic challenges, then why is the S&P 500 index less than 2% from its late-April record? Markets face three overlapping problems, according to...

Weekly Market Outlook – A Far-From-Perfect Recovery Effort

It was a recovery effort to be sure, but hardly the one investors truly wanted to see. Inspired mostly by headlines and unfurling on increasingly tepid volume, the bulls' true conviction remains unclear. This is what the bears' perfect headfake would look like. Whatever's in the cards, odds are good we're going to see some sort of pullback no matter...

Weekly Market Outlook – A Far-From-Perfect Recovery Effort

It was a recovery effort to be sure, but hardly the one investors truly wanted to see. Inspired mostly by headlines and unfurling on increasingly tepid volume, the bulls' true conviction remains unclear. This is what the bears' perfect headfake would look like. Whatever's in the cards, odds are good we're going to see some sort of pullback no matter...

May Jobs Report Was Healthier Than Headlines Suggested

The most-touted number was admittedly ugly. That is, versus expectations of 175,000 new jobs added for May, the actual figure of 75,000 is a concern. Stocks rallied on the report, which didn't alter the unemployment rate of 3.6%, as it suggests the Fed has room and reason to not only hold off an raising interest rates, but could even lower...

May Jobs Report Was Healthier Than Headlines Suggested

The most-touted number was admittedly ugly. That is, versus expectations of 175,000 new jobs added for May, the actual figure of 75,000 is a concern. Stocks rallied on the report, which didn't alter the unemployment rate of 3.6%, as it suggests the Fed has room and reason to not only hold off an raising interest rates, but could even lower...
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