Why this 'bull market' is really a myth by Sven Henrich Despite having made marginal new highs on select indices, markets haven't been in a bull market since GAAP earnings peaked during the spring of 2015. If this thesis is correct, volatility is still much too low, and investors can expect volatility to rise into 2017. The recent pullback has...
Third Year After Presidential Election a charm for S&P 500 by Andrew Birstingl Election Day in the United States is, at last, almost here. Similar to any other major event, investors will be looking to what effect the presidential election will have on the stock market for the rest of the year and beyond. One way we can predict this...
Small stocks may be pointing the way to a big rally by Rebecca Ungarino Small caps are falling in a big way. The Russell 2000 is down about 6 percent over the last five weeks, dropping Tuesday for its fifth negative session in six and hitting its lowest level since July. But these recent losses could be indicative of a secular bull...
Forget the US – the stock market bargains are now international: Meb Faber by Rebecca Ungarino The best stocks may not be in the U.S. at all, according to one strategist who sees opportunities for growth abroad in relatively cheap markets. Particularly low-valued markets like those of Brazil and Russia, with low cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratios, are good buys, according...
The 'most remarkable' Oct. jobs stat is not wage growth, JPMorgan strategist says by Matthew J. Belvedere The October jobs report was "very good" and indicates the economy is running at "full employment," JPMorgan Asset Management Chief Global Strategist David Kelly told CNBC on Friday. Vincent Reinhart, chief economist at Standish Mellon, agreed in the same "Squawk on the Street" interview. The Federal...
Volatile Election Not Volatile Enough for the Man Who Trades Chaos VIX up for eight straight days, longest streak since 2013 'Mean reversion' suggests volatility index will come back down by Aleksandra Gjorgievska While stock investors are growing anxious before the U.S. presidential election, betting on equity volatility has become the most expensive in more than a year. Huakun Ding...
Bond World Bloodied by Biggest Losses Since 2013 in Global Rout Yields reach multi-month highs in Germany, U.K., U.S. Corporate issuers undeterred, sell $59 billion of debt by Eliza Ronalds-Hannon & Claire Boston After all central bankers have done since the financial crisis to prop up bond prices, it didn’t take much for them to send the global debt market...
Plunging home improvement stocks raise questions about the housing market by Alex Rosenberg Where's Tim Allen when you need him? Shares of Whirlpool tanked 11 percent Tuesday, after the home appliance company reported earnings that missed estimates amid a decrease in revenue. The company also cut its guidance, blaming "temporary U.S. demand softness as well as Brexit-related currency volatility and demand weakness...
Sorry, but the economy's growth spurt isn't going to last Excluding "transitory" effects, the actual growth rate would have been closer to the 1.5 percent rate of the past four quarters. by Jeff Cox The U.S. economy grew in the third quarter at its fastest pace in two years, due largely to factors that are unlikely to last. Gross domestic...
Something 'extremely rare' is happening in the market by Rebecca Ungarino The market has moved in an ultra-tight range since the Brexit vote in late June, but as the water looks calm from above, some traders say there's something lurking beneath the surface. The S&P 500 has closed within 3 percent of its all-time high every single day since late June. Such...