I believe the outcome of the past 6+ months with regards to global trade, currency devaluations, and consumer sentiment will result in weaker US earnings in Q2 than at any time over the past 3+ years. We believe US stocks, after recently breaching key psychological price levels ($300 SPY and $3000 ES) are poised to set up a sideways Pennant...
It was a less-than-ideal advance, but an advance all the same. The S&P 500 gained another 0.8% last week, to bring the gain since the late-December low to an incredible 28%. It's uncomfortably overbought, but that doesn't seem to have turned into a problem yet. Investors have largely convinced themselves a rate cut is imminent, and that it will only...
It was a less-than-ideal advance, but an advance all the same. The S&P 500 gained another 0.8% last week, to bring the gain since the late-December low to an incredible 28%. It's uncomfortably overbought, but that doesn't seem to have turned into a problem yet. Investors have largely convinced themselves a rate cut is imminent, and that it will only...
It’s progress. It’s agonizingly slow, labored progress, but considering the market’s pushing its way into record-high territory after a 26% gain in less than seven months, it’s impressive. It’s far from ideal though. In fact, it’s uncomfortably flawed. Rally Lacking Volume It’s a premise we continually come back to, but only because it’s an important premise. That is, if a...
It’s progress. It’s agonizingly slow, labored progress, but considering the market’s pushing its way into record-high territory after a 26% gain in less than seven months, it’s impressive. It’s far from ideal though. In fact, it’s uncomfortably flawed. Rally Lacking Volume It’s a premise we continually come back to, but only because it’s an important premise. That is, if a...
Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive price modeling system is suggesting Crude Oil will likely continue to find resistance near $64 as a price ceiling and trend lower over the next 3 to 5 months – eventually breaking below the $40 price level near the end of 2019 or in early 2020. Our research team believes this move could very...
Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive price modeling system is suggesting Crude Oil will likely continue to find resistance near $64 as a price ceiling and trend lower over the next 3 to 5 months – eventually breaking below the $40 price level near the end of 2019 or in early 2020. Our research team believes this move could very...
We have been focused on the upside price move in Gold and Precious Metals, we’ve been engaged in multiple private conversations with members and friends about the potential for a renewed debt crisis between now and the end of 2020. This research post should help to put some perspective into what we believe the next 16+ months of trading and...
We have been focused on the upside price move in Gold and Precious Metals, we’ve been engaged in multiple private conversations with members and friends about the potential for a renewed debt crisis between now and the end of 2020. This research post should help to put some perspective into what we believe the next 16+ months of trading and...
The market followed through on its recovery effort from two weeks ago, pushing its way to record highs last week. It's hardly the perfect advance to new highs though. Not only are stocks now well overbought and ripe for profit taking, the conviction behind last week's progress is far from convincing. It's also the wrong time of year for this...
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