Backwardation, Oil Prices, Syria & Fat Tails Oil Prices, Syria, and the Probability of a Price Shock Oil prices have been in the spotlight as the Syrian chemical weapons crisis became front and center in the media. As the political process has unfolded, price volatility in oil futures in both directions has been extreme. Oil prices (USO) have traded in...
5 Top Stocks From 2013's Hottest Sectors The best values in 2013's hottest sectors Sometimes a particular industry is so hot that it comes to define an entire era of market trading. Personal computers, the Internet, and mobile phones each in turn produced intense periods of rising stocks. What makes 2013 different is the sheer number of highly hyped industries...
Strong Call For A Big Rise In Commodities Commodity prices are about to explode In June, I discussed "Are commodity prices about to explode?" The question mark was there because a lot of ingredients were in place for a major rally, but I also pointed out that we really needed confirmation from some of the key averages. Now I am...
Warning Signs For Gold Amid Heavy Volume On Miners Is the Manipulation in the Metals about to Begin Again? The answer to the question above unfortunately is maybe. There are definitely warning signs springing up. The first sign of trouble popped up last week when the miners (GDX) generated a key reversal on huge volume – and on a day...
4 Technical Analysis Concepts That Can Help Your Investing 4 Technical Clues Hedge Funds Look Before Buying A Stock Some of history's greatest Hedge Funds & Portfolio Managers combine fundamental analysis with timing the entry/exit using technicals to pick opportunities. This is how managers like Paul Tudor Jones, John Henry, Louis Bacon and others have operated. In this post I...
Option Trading Strategy For Profiting On A Range Bound Stock Option Trade For A Range Bound Stock Credit card companies have been nonexistent for the summer. American Express (AXP) and Visa (V) have been trading in a range since May. Mastercard (MA) has seen a little bit of action thanks to some better-than-expected earnings. The stock traders should focus on...
The 'Q Ratio' Gives Caution For Long-Term Market Valuation The Q Ratio and Market Valuation: The Q Ratio is a popular method of estimating the fair value of the stock market developed by Nobel Laureate James Tobin. It's a fairly simple concept, but laborious to calculate. The Q Ratio is the total price of the market divided by the replacement...
Understanding Gamma In Your Options Trading 3 Keys to Understanding Gamma The esoteric Greek every options trader needs to know Exploring the Option Greeks takes you from odds assessment with Delta to clock watching with Theta and finally to volatility betting with Vega. To conclude a brief tour of the Greeks, we have one more stop on the list –...
Why Syria Is Affecting Crude Oil & Energy Stocks Syria is roiling oil markets, but the real story is the chaos in Libya and Nigeria [BigTrends.com Editor’s Note: The author examines the situation in Syria and how it can affect oil prices (and whether the impact is overstated), as well as unrest in oil producers such as Libya and Nigeria....
Contrarian Warning – Bullish Teenagers Embrace Stock Trading Budding bulls and Buffetts: These teens dive into stocks [BigTrends Editor's Note: The fact that young people are interested and participating in investing and trading stocks is a good thing, particularly with an emphasis on shorter-term technical analysis (which is one of our areas of expertise). However, this sort of article often...
