Cautious Optimism – Weekly Market Outlook
The third bullish week in a row, with this one being the best of the last three. It was also the fourth winning week of the last five, and the S&P 500 has now gained 7.8% since the middle of
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Can Gold Rebound & Should You Prefer Silver?
Gold had an incredible multi-year run from late-2008 to late-2011. We noted many times the very steady consistent uptrend in Gold and had traded GLD ETF and individual Gold stocks many times throughout this run. However, we're certainly not "perma"
Asia ETF Correlation and 2012 Performance
You've probably been aware that it seems certain securities have traded more and more similarly in recent years, especially since the market panic of 2007/2009. Many large broad-based stock mutual funds have posted remarkably similar performance numbers. There are always those stocks/commodities/sectors/indices
Declining VIX Provides Backdrop For Higher Stock Prices
We've been following and analyzing the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) since the early-1990s. This measure of S&P 500 Index (SPX) option implied volatility shows the level of uncertainty and fear among option traders. Generally when investors are concerned about the
Using Volume Indicators in Technical Analysis
Basics of Volume Indicators Let's begin this discussion with a basic definition of Volume, specifically stock volume — option volume is another interesting indicator and topic for another time. Simply put, volume is the number of trades made on a
Bullish Signal from Extreme Percent R Level
The S&P 500 Index (SPX) (SPY) has been in a consistent uptrend recently. This has led the SPX Williams Percent R reading, using Price Headley's 30 daily input setting, to reach a level of 99.93 as of Wednesday's close. The scale
Multiple Time Frame Gold Analysis
Gold Trend Forecast for 1st Quarter of 2012 Over the past five months gold (GLD) has fallen sharply and is no longer headline news; which it once dominated back in 2011 when it was making new highs every day. The shiny
Battle Lines Being Drawn – Weekly Market Outlook
Despite a lethargic end to the week for the bulls, the blow they dealt on Tuesday was good enough to translate into modest gain for the week… the second winning week in a row, and the third in the last
Why Option Trading Volume Continues To Grow
We've been involved with options trading since the early-1990s and have seen the explosive growth of their usage. Despite mediocre global economic conditions and lower stock volume at some brokers, the leading options exchange (CBOE) reported some impressive numbers for 2011. We'll
Jumpstart – Breakout Stocks & Sectors of 2012
It's only been a brief amount of time since the calendar turned over, but there are some interesting names leading the performance of individual stocks in 2012. We screened for optionable stocks with over 2 million average daily volume and
The Silver Bubble, Parabolic Patterns, & Gold
Did The Silver Bubble Burst? Gold bugs argue that Gold (SLV) is far from being a Bubble. Especially not when you look at the following comparison, which plots Gold’s rise versus the Nasdaq’s (COMP) (QQQ) rise in the 1990′s. Gold vs. Nasdaq The
Complacency & Crude Oil Could Trigger a Bull Trap
Could Oil Prices Intensify a Pending S&P 500 Selloff? Recent reports are promoting the conception that the unemployment rate in the United States is improving markedly. In addition, sentiment numbers were released that confirmed my previous speculation that market participants
Buy The Dips For Now – Weekly Market Outlook
A nice week for stocks last week, with the S&P 500 advancing 1.6%, and making the third weekly higher high. It couldn't have come at a more needed time (for the bulls) either, as some doubts about the overall uptrend
Timeless Trading Lessons for 2012
The Art of Self-Management One of the easiest mistakes any trader can make is not a 'trading' mistake at all. Rather, the mistake is complacency with his or her trading skills and knowledge. Unfortunately, trading is not like riding a
The Danger of Leveraged/Ultra/Short ETFs in a Volatile Market
Mind the Leverage… It might KILL your wallet… In this article I will show you why it's wise to be careful with leveraged products, such as ProShares Ultra ETF's and Direxion 3x ETF etc… as they might damage your portfolio! Leverage
A Contrarian Strategy for Finding 2012′s Winning Sectors
2011's Best and Worst Industries Though there are exceptions to all rules of thumb, there's a reason a rule became a rule in the first place – it works more often than not. One of the more effective rules has
Important Wedge Patterns Forming – Weekly Market Outlook
It was the lightest-volume week of the year last week, and one of the least eventful as well. That doesn't mean it wasn't an important one though, in that where the market left off last week is usually where –
Current Gold Downwave Will Precede Big Parabolic Advance
Gold's D-Wave Confirmed With the recent move below $1535, gold (GLD) has confirmed that it is still moving down into a D-Wave bottom. There has been some question as to whether or not the D-Wave had bottomed in September. The penetration of
Bonds Poised for a Big Move & the Subsequent Ripple Effects
Are Bonds about to plunge? And if so (or if not), what are the implications for stocks and precious metals? Let's have a look at (TLT), which is the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund ETF. Back in 2008,
What Direction is Crude Oil Heading?
Holiday Short Squeeze & Oil Trade Idea Typically, the week before Christmas, stocks and commodities drift higher due to the lack of participants. Light volume favors higher prices, which is why stocks want to rise going into the holiday season.
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