Year End Stock Market Performance Analysis by Sector, Market Cap, and Investment Style
2012 Results – by Sector, Market Cap, and Style
The year is just about over, although there could be some last-minute machinations. But, we’re pretty much where we’re going to be on a full-year basis. And how did things go? Take a look.
As for market caps, there wasn’t a great deal of disparity between large caps, mid caps, and small caps. Mid Caps (MDY) (IWR) led the way with a 14.6% gain, while Large Caps (SPY) (DIA) (VTI) (RSP) gains 11.0% in 2012. The Small Caps (IWM) (IJR) (SCHA) were wedged in between with an 11.9% gain. Though all three are headed lower right now, the mid caps legitimately have the long-term edge (again) heading into 2013 for option trading.
Sector-wise, the chart below is color coded (by ETF), but just to ensure there’s no confusion, the listing of all the major sectors on the left side of the chart flows from top performers to the weakest performers. In other words, the Financials (IYF) (XLF) were 2012′s biggest gainers with an average 21.9% advance, while the Utilities (IDU) (XLU) posted the worst numbers with their 4.1% loss. It’s rare for a leader or laggard to hold that spot two years in a row, so it may be wisest to start seeing utilities in a bullish light, and to start shedding your financial names.
Although the difference between market cap performance was minimal, the difference in performance between styles in 2012 was even less pronounced. Growth (IWF) lagged with its 11.2% gain, while Value (IWD) led with a 12.7% advance. The ‘blend’ S&P 500, of course, is found in between with its 11.6% gain. Unfortunately, there’s nothing telling in this chart about what the coming year will hold in terms of styles for option trading.