One of the clues to finding turns in the market is to identify the subtle clues of the market. Price action is always king and volume is the queen. So, we have a chart below with notes that tell you how this got started. Institutional distribution is slow and methodical but very evident if you take a step back and look. The blue arrow was the day after Thanksgiving..big sell day. Oh sure, the mkt rallied from there, but the big players were taking $$$ off the table. You didn't know it, but it happened.
Ok...now, next levels if the spx closes UNDER 1072? We're looking at minor support at 1055, then stronger levels at 1030. Note, this market is now correcting in time AND price, which means swift moves down to counter the long grind higher.
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Plotting some Acceleration Bands on the daily SPX show a whole different story from the previous minor corrections since the Mar '09 rally.
Also, looking at the VIX it is not getting under that 20SMA after it reached outside the Bollinger Band like it has before since the Mar '09 rally. Instead it practically bounced off that 20SMA.
Maybe the SPX chart has changed from grinding up and buying on dips to grinding down and selling on rallys?