BigTrends


Seeing some bearish patterns here that signal some downside action ahead:

* Markets were jacked up end of month/quarter with commodities, tech and others marked up.  However, the heavy volume occurred earlier in the day when the selling was heaviest.

* The monthly close under 1060 was bearish as the candle that was created for the month was not able to exceed the critical 20 month moving average.

* Five distribution days (higher volume) in the last six is a sign that downside momentum is building.

* The VIX has formed a higher low on the daily chart and threatens to break higher and reach the 30 level once again.

* New highs have broken down and are not being exceeded.

* A plethora of secondaries were issued in September, bringing on more supply to a market not buying (price pressure).

* The anti-market trade, otherwise known as the US Dollar, seems to have put in a bottom.

* The reaction to bad news on the economic front is not shrugged off by traders.

These are just a few of the signs that I'm seeing here, there may be more.  Of course, any/all of these could just be fakeouts.  We'll have to watch the price/volume action to determine where the next path is.


Comments (1)Add Comment
gotoguy
Flip Flop
written by gotoguy, October 02, 2009
Bob, you seem to flip flop. Two weeks you said one thing on FB, now its different on this blog? Meanwhile, as you can see...you were quite rude in your post as well. Being wrong, and rude...I have NO RESPECT.

I'm a kid, yea so what. But I have had enough bullshit from crooks.

If you forgot:

Chris Arnoldi
$VIX is on support. What do these two things say about next weeks direction? lol
September 18 at 12:28pm ยท Delete

Bob Lang
probably nothing, Chris...considering many traders are away for the week...perhaps some downside/congestion but barring any bad news/events the vix trend is down. Historical volatility on the vix is about 17. There is no support for the dollar, which gets sold on every single rally. You wanna catch a falling knife? be my guest!

To follow up, last week was the worst week in 2 months (source: WSJ). This week is obviously no better, and actually worse! The VIX is up 25% since your dumb comment. So why don't you show me some audited returns if you are so smart?

I'm sorry, but I'm sick of assholes that think they know everything.


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